{"id":48991,"date":"2020-03-10T14:55:47","date_gmt":"2020-03-10T03:55:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/?p=48991"},"modified":"2020-03-18T07:05:11","modified_gmt":"2020-03-17T20:05:11","slug":"life-industry-unsustainable-in-current-state-new-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/2020\/03\/10\/life-industry-unsustainable-in-current-state-new-report\/","title":{"rendered":"Life Industry Unsustainable in Current State &#8211; New Report"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span data-sheets-value=\"{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;The precarious nature of Australia's life insurance industry is in an even worse state than has been documented, according to a new report...&quot;}\" data-sheets-userformat=\"{&quot;2&quot;:513,&quot;3&quot;:{&quot;1&quot;:0},&quot;12&quot;:0}\">The precarious nature of Australia&#8217;s life insurance industry is in a more parlous state than has been documented, according to a new report.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>In a paper released this week, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.retender.com.au\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Retender<\/a> MD, <strong>Ilan Leas<\/strong>, cautions that the industry may be locked into a deteriorating spiral and questions whether the existing model under which it operates can ever be sustainable.<\/p>\n<p>Challenging current assumptions in his paper entitled <a href=\"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/files\/2020\/03\/200310-The-sustainability-fallacy-Final-March-2020.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Sustainability Fallacy<\/a>, Leas documents his rationale for his concerns and, importantly, offers solutions that he says would deliver a more sustainable life industry structure for the future.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_49027\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-49027\" style=\"width: 150px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/files\/2020\/03\/Ilan-Leas-2020-scaled-e1583816456465.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-49027\" src=\"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/files\/2020\/03\/Ilan-Leas-2020-scaled-e1583816456465.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"150\" height=\"180\" srcset=\"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/files\/2020\/03\/Ilan-Leas-2020-scaled-e1583816456465.jpg 1222w, https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/files\/2020\/03\/Ilan-Leas-2020-scaled-e1583816456465-250x300.jpg 250w, https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/files\/2020\/03\/Ilan-Leas-2020-scaled-e1583816456465-854x1024.jpg 854w, https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/files\/2020\/03\/Ilan-Leas-2020-scaled-e1583816456465-768x921.jpg 768w, https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/files\/2020\/03\/Ilan-Leas-2020-scaled-e1583816456465-696x834.jpg 696w, https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/files\/2020\/03\/Ilan-Leas-2020-scaled-e1583816456465-1068x1280.jpg 1068w, https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/files\/2020\/03\/Ilan-Leas-2020-scaled-e1583816456465-350x420.jpg 350w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-49027\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Retender MD, Ilan Leas &#8230;industry may be locked into a deteriorating spiral<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Using the analogy of determining the point at which a consumer should either repair a faulty refrigerator or buy a new one, Leas sets out the arguments associated with fixing the current life insurance industry structure or ruling a line beneath it and starting afresh.<\/p>\n<p>His argument that the industry is in a worse position than is presently assumed revolves around how life companies report claims losses. Although the current picture is already gloomy, Leas says the true extent of the volume of claims losses incurred by the industry has been hidden &#8211; to an extent &#8211; by the ability of insurers to offset or retrocede risk to their global parents or other overseas reinsurers, thereby allowing lower loss numbers to be incorporated into APRA-required reporting.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8230;these numbers are understating the true extent of the losses incurred by the industry<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/files\/2020\/03\/200310-The-sustainability-fallacy-Final-March-2020.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-49010\" src=\"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/files\/2020\/03\/200310-Retender.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"154\" height=\"218\" srcset=\"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/files\/2020\/03\/200310-Retender.png 646w, https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/files\/2020\/03\/200310-Retender-213x300.png 213w, https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/files\/2020\/03\/200310-Retender-298x420.png 298w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 154px) 100vw, 154px\" \/><\/a>Referring to APRA\u2019s Quarterly Life Insurance Performance Statistics, Leas notes that for the 12 months to December 2019, risk products reported a combined after-tax loss of $1.3 billion. \u201cHowever, these numbers are understating the true extent of the losses incurred by the industry,\u201d he says, adding \u201cReinsurers are able to retrocede risk (as much as 50%) to their global parents or other overseas reinsurance entities. Losses on retroceded business are not incorporated into the APRA statistics, meaning gross reinsurer losses could be double that reported.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8230;gross reinsurer losses could be double that reported<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Other issues cited by Lees as compounding an already serious situation include:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Significant increase in expenses for insurers, due to increased business change requirements, data gathering, regulatory change, merger activity and additional risk controls<\/li>\n<li>Falling revenues across the segments with reducing sales<\/li>\n<li>Increase in lapse rates as premium rate changes are being put through in the individual segment<\/li>\n<li>Additional capital costs imposed by APRA<\/li>\n<li>Spikes in claims notification as awareness has increased<\/li>\n<li>Pressure on life companies to pay grey claims (the \u2018Orr factor\u2019)<\/li>\n<li>Selective lapses (where healthier policyholder exit the pool)<\/li>\n<li>Pressure on the asset side of the balance sheet due to the Covid-19 virus and interest rates<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>The solutions<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>One way for the industry to move forward, says Leas, is for it to agree to implement some clear principles that should form a part of any future business model for the sector.<\/p>\n<p>These solutions include:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Stop talking about losses year after year \u2013 re-capitalise once<\/li>\n<li>Hedge the insurance risk \u2013 reduce volatility<\/li>\n<li>Separate new business and the backbook \u2013 move the backbook into run off<\/li>\n<li>Go further than the minimum product requirements \u2013 reduce replacement ratios, reduce benefit term and remove stepped products<\/li>\n<li>Develop a clearer picture of future trends \u2013 start again without an anchor (ie without the drag of history)<\/li>\n<li>Better align behaviours with long term outcomes \u2013 ultra long-term remuneration for life company execs<\/li>\n<li>Transparency &#8211; be honest about the uncertainty for customers \u2013 communicate they could be seeing 20% p.a. increases for the next 7-10 years<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Leas considers each of these solutions in more detail in his paper, which can be accessed by clicking <a href=\"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/files\/2020\/03\/200310-The-sustainability-fallacy-Final-March-2020.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here<\/a>\u2026<\/p>\n<p>He concludes that because he asserts industry losses are far worse than reported, the industry and consumers may be far better off replacing the fridge completely than trying to repair it.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The precarious nature of Australia&#8217;s life insurance industry is in a more parlous state than has been documented, according to a new report. In a paper released this week, Retender MD, Ilan Leas, cautions that the industry may be locked into a deteriorating spiral and questions whether the existing model under which it operates can [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":49005,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-48991","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-general"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48991","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48991"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48991\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49005"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48991"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48991"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/riskinfo.com.au\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48991"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}